EU is overrepresented and undercommitted
Germany’s Foreign Minister Joshka Fisher declared that India and Germany are natural candidates for permanent seats on the UN Security Council. That sounds like Germany hitching its wagon onto India’s engine.
With two of its core members, France and Britain, in the Security Council, the EU is already over-represented. In any future re-organisation of the council, Europe’s role must be consolidated. With a single market, single currency, armed forces and soon a formal constitution, the EU has no excuse for not consolidating its foreign policy and security position onto one vote. Germany may be a powerful economy, so is California.
More likely candidates are India, Japan and perhaps even Turkey.
Update: Kemal Dervis, a former member of Turkey’s cabinet, argues that besides India and Japan, Africa, Latin America and the Arab world must be represented in the Security Council.